Butler: ‘Substantially’ Underweight Tech, 25% Chance of Recession in Later 2026

“We’re underweight tech pretty substantially,” says Doug Butler, though his firm has positions in Alphabet (GOOGL) and Oracle (ORCL). He cites valuation and AI bubble concerns, saying the sector has gotten “very, very stretched out.” As long as the economy doesn’t tip into recession – which he sees around a 25% chance of later in the year – he sees opportunities in financials and healthcare. His picks include Mastercard (MA), Blackrock (BLK), Zoetis (ZTS), and more.

The Watch List

09 Jan 2026

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