Garrett Melson says the real story on the tax bill is it won’t be as supportive for growth as the government is claiming. He thinks the impact of tariffs might be less than feared but says we’re “not quite out of the woods” on the labor market after a negative print from the ADP this morning. “The big story is that [labor falling] is not really a function of trade and tariff policy,” he argues, but an effect of organic economic cooling.