HomeMarketsU.S. EconomyDollarhide: Unemployment Could Hit 5% in 2026, Forcing Fed’s Hand

Dollarhide: Unemployment Could Hit 5% in 2026, Forcing Fed’s Hand

“I don’t know how consequential the January theory is anymore,” says Jake Dollarhide, referencing the market adage that as goes January so goes the year. The Fed has “one rate cut in it,” he argues, looking at the makeup of hawks and doves on the board. It’ll all come down to the jobs reports – and he thinks unemployment could hit 5%. Jake is looking for an “official rotation” in markets this year.

Morning Trade Live

06 Jan 2026

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