Ben Emons, noted Fed watcher, explains the latest outlook for rate cut decisions. He discusses how the Fed’s dual mandates are muddying the picture ahead of the September decision. Ben thinks the Fed wants to “get ahead of this labor issue” and could cut by 50 basis points. “You cannot control the unemployment rate,” he emphasizes, but the Fed has more control over inflation. While the market is pricing in a series of cuts, he says there’s a chance it could be “one and done.” He adds that the Fed is dependent on market expectations as well as data.
Trading 360
29 Aug 2025
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