Fed Chair Powell's Jackson Hole speech looms large for markets, with investors keenly awaiting his take on the economic outlook and the framework review. Brian Jacobsen expects Powell to strike a balanced tone, acknowledging labor market "fractures" while maintaining a hawkish bias on inflation. Jacobsen sees a 75% chance of a September rate cut, with the potential for two more cuts this year, but cautions that Powell may not commit to a specific path, citing data dependency and the Fed's dual mandate.