With the Fed's next meeting just around the corner, Jeffrey Cleveland and Yelena Shulyatyeva share their thoughts on what to expect. Jeffrey believes the case is strong for a 50-basis-point cut, citing slower job growth, weak labor market indicators, and moderating inflation. However, Yelena thinks a 25-basis-point cut is more likely, citing in-line economic data and concerns about surprising the market. Both agree that the labor picture has weakened, with almost a million jobs fewer than this time last year, and that a further slowdown in GDP growth and a rise in unemployment remain real risks.
The Watch List
12 Sep 2025
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