Insights into Market Volatility

Nick Tell, CEO of Armory Group, attributes recent market volatility to "personality uncertainty" rather than policy uncertainty, pointing to President Trump's track record of using chaos as a negotiating strategy. Tell believes the 10-year Treasury yield will stay rangebound above 4.3% due to growth concerns and safe-haven asset class uncertainty. Despite some positive hard data, such as stronger-than-expected durable goods orders, Tell notes that consumer-facing companies are starting to show weakness. He expects a potential trade deal to be announced soon, potentially within the next few months, to claim victory and ease tensions.

Trading 360

24 Apr 2025

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