The chance of a 3% to 5% upside day is much greater than the chance for a downside day on a similar scale, argues Market Rebellion's Jon Najarian. He points to crude oil's move being less than expected serving as a fulcrum for a bullish reversal. Jon also points to defense stocks like Lockheed Martin (LMT) as ones to watch until the Iranian conflict subsides. On stock and commodity movers, he tells investors to keep an eye on Bitcoin and talks about way to utilize short-term options.