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Potential Economic Surprises in 2026

Brian Jacobsen and Steven Kates discuss the Fed’s rate cut yesterday and their path forward. Steven thinks the Fed is proving unwilling to “step forward” and deal with inflation. He sees concerns in the bond market about rising debt across the spectrum. Brian thinks jobs data next week will show the Fed’s case more clearly and anticipates another two cuts before the end of this cycle. They also give their views for the economy next year and potential catalysts up or down, including midterm elections.

The Watch List

11 Dec 2025

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