With markets hitting new all-time highs and forward earnings estimates still coming in strong, Garrett Melson says there might be signs of cooling but not collapsing. He discusses current market risks including the state of the labor market, inflation levels and the A.I. spending surge fueling a lot of the current rally. He says the economy is "innocent until proven guilty" and says any acceleration of jobs losses would be a red flag. Garrett does map out the reasons for and against a 50bps cut at the September FOMC meeting, but believes a 25bps is most likely.