Carol Schleif thinks the market rally before the Fed conference today is notable. She lays out what investors should be watching around the world, but says “in general, markets tend to look through geopolitical risk…they don’t know how to assess it.” The worst of the tariffs are behind us, she assesses, as trade breakthroughs seem near. She previews the Fed dot plot, expected today after the FOMC meeting, and gauges how many rate cuts we might see this year.