Jeff Schulze warns of the labor market signaling a potential economic downturn after the latest Jobless Claims report. “It’s been a tough job environment,” he says, but thinks deregulation, the ‘Big Beautiful Bill’, and Fed rate cuts will buoy economic momentum next year. He thinks we need to “ratchet down our expectations” about job growth, though that “doesn’t mean a weak economy overall.” Jeff also looks at AI in the labor market and potential productivity growth.