2025 was about policy changes, 2026 is about how the economy will respond, says Thomas Urano. He thinks tailwinds remain and is “optimistic” about the first half of 2026. He thinks Treasury markets will struggle with “two masters” as the Fed’s path remains uncertain; for credit, he says investors should be careful about where they’re looking for yield. Thomas is optimistic on international equities due to a weaker dollar and foreign central banks lowering rates.