What a Bond Curve Inversion is Telling Markets About the Neutral Rate

Jordan Rizzuto explains what a short-term yield curve inversion is telling us about “neutral policy rate” for the Fed. He compares the reactions in the bond and stock markets after the Fed’s 25-basis-point rate cut Wednesday. As far as the path forward, he thinks we’re still in more “wait and see mode” than the Fed wants to project. In stocks, “animal spirits appear strong,” Jordan says, and compares conditions now to the end of the ‘90s.

Market On Close

18 Sep 2025

SHARE

Schwab Network's Newsletters

Daily insights for every investor

ON AIR
6:00 pm
The Wrap
replay
12:00 am
The Wrap
REPLAY
12:30 am
Market On Close
REPLAY
2:00 am
Trading 360
REPLAY
3:00 am
Fast Market
REPLAY
4:00 am
Next Gen Investing
REPLAY
5:00 am
Market Overtime
REPLAY
5:30 am
The Wrap
REPLAY
7:00 am
Morning Movers
8:00 am
Opening Bell With Nicole Petallides
9:00 am
Morning Trade Live
10:00 am
Trading 360
11:00 am
Fast Market
12:00 pm
Next Gen Investing
1:00 pm
The Watch List
2:00 pm
Market On Close
3:30 pm
Market Overtime
REPLAY
4:00 pm
Fast Market
REPLAY
5:00 pm
Next Gen Investing
REPLAY
ON AIR
6:00 pm
The Wrap
REPLAY
7:30 pm
Market Overtime
REPLAY
8:00 pm
Market Overtime
REPLAY
8:30 pm
Market On Close
REPLAY
10:00 pm
Trading 360
REPLAY
11:00 pm
The Wrap
REPLAY