Vikas Dwivedi assesses global energy markets as the U.S. seems to be on the cusp of a military attack on Iran. Vikas says the odds are trying to answer what kind of military action rather than whether diplomacy will prevail. He thinks that a strike will be met with a $4-$5 move in oil before a response from Iran. He argues the oil market is “hard to short” right now as risk premium rises. Vikas looks at China’s lower-than-expected demand for oil recently and how that impacts the sector.