Mark Vitner and Jeffrey Cleveland break down June CPI, which cooled as shelter costs dipped. Mark thinks the Fed is “still on course” after the report. He also expects the PPI to read about the same when it is released tomorrow. However, he thinks the labor market is “much weaker” than data shows. Jeffrey thinks rate cuts will start in September and we could potentially see multiple this year. Housing costs cooling “should keep inflation in check,” he adds. Jeffrey sees the tariffs as a drag on the economy and expects GDP to hit 1.5% this year.