John Lonski and Daniel Zhao give their perspective on the job market after the ADP employment report posted a surprise negative. John expects rates to fall as jobs weaken and says tariffs could have a bigger economic impact than expected. Daniel notes his firm Glassdoor’s employee confidence survey has hit lows, and also expects the jobs market to keep weakening. He argues that if the economy was stronger, AI companies would be hiring more, instead of tech companies laying off workers.
The Watch List
02 Jul 2025
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