Will Fed Raise Rates Instead of Lowering Them?

John Lekas and Joseph Shaposhnik preview today’s FOMC decision. John thinks they’re in “no position to lower rates” because of the inflationary environment. He thinks the Fed will raise rates before they lower them, and that they wouldn’t move down until unemployment hit at least 5%. Joseph argues against that view, saying the Fed will be “laser-focused” on slipping CPI data.

Trading 360

18 Jun 2025

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