Dustin Reid digs into today’s flurry of economic data, highlighting strength in Durable Goods and GDP and weakness in the labor market. He thinks the market is waiting “for a shoe to drop” either way. He thinks the Fed will be “on hold” after one more cut, whether it comes in December or not. Dustin shares his view of the bond market and potential fixed-income strategies ahead of a “challenging” 2026. He believes we are in the “third or fourth inning” of AI capex spend, and we could hit the end by late next year.