Joe Brusuelas says sharp jumps in crude oil could cause ripple effects across the entire U.S. economy expecting "higher inflation, higher gasoline, lower growth." Later, Joe discusses his firm's U.S. Middle Market Business Index results which showed the 2nd largest quarter-over-quarter decline it in its 10-year history. He discusses the "bite" of tariff hikes and what economic "shocks" remain, as investors await clarity from trade talks and the ramifications of escalation in the Middle East.